Most waiver advice gives you a price range and leaves you to guess. FAABFAX gives you a figure and tells you how often that figure has actually won, priced off your own league's bidding history rather than a stranger's. No signup, and we never ask for your Sleeper or ESPN password.
Works with Sleeper, ESPN and Yahoo, public leagues or private · the build takes about ten minutes. Or open the demo league to look around first.
Not a range. Three bids, each one the cheapest figure that would have won that often in your league. Figures here are made up to show the shape; yours come from your league's own claims.
Read P60 if you only read one. It is the smallest bid that would have beaten the winner on about 60% of the claims in your league that looked like this one. Tap any figure for the whole curve, every dollar up to your full budget.
Your bid only has to beat the teams that still have money. We read every manager's remaining budget, so a team sitting on $3 stops counting as a threat. Six teams can still reach $18. Two cannot reach $4.
| What it has taken | Teams bidding | Winning bid |
|---|---|---|
| Nobody else wanted him | you only | $1 |
| One other team | 2 | $14 |
| Three other teams | 4 | $41 |
Receipts, not vibes. Every figure opens on the claims it was computed from, with how many there were.
A contested add in this league has cost
In the public leagues we track, the same kind of claim runs 5.0%. More than three times the price, because leagues bid differently from one another. That gap is the reason we start with your history and fall back to other people's only when yours runs out, and say on the card which one you are looking at.
The winner's bid is a record of somebody's overpayment. We also show the clearing price, which is what it would have taken to beat the runner-up. Across our leagues, 82% of claims cleared at or below the floor of the old recommended range.
Every Wednesday we score last week's recommendations against what actually cleared, and publish it.
The bid is written down before you act, so the grade cannot be rewritten afterwards. When the number is off, the market report says by how much and in which direction. A tool that only tells you what worked is asking you to trust it on faith.
Nothing in this list sets a dollar figure by itself. A signal either tells us which claims to price from, or tells us how many teams will bid. Keeping those two apart is most of what makes the number trustworthy.
What claims like this one have actually cost.
Every FAAB claim your league has on record, including the losing bids, which is the part nobody else keeps. This is the primary evidence for every figure we show you. Held out on 2,892 claims across 419 leagues, the P60 bid won 63% of the time against a 60% target.
The single biggest thing separating a $2 claim from a $40 one. Across 58,954 claims, the price runs about 32 times higher when five rivals bid than when none do. So we price each player against the competition we expect for him, not against the average claim.
The winning bid tells you what somebody paid. The bid under it tells you what winning actually required. Pricing off winners overpays by $4.75 to $16.26 per league on average. A $0 bid, for the record, won 0 of 323 contested claims.
A league's habits drift as managers come and go, so each season back counts about 71% of the one after it. A four-year-old bid still counts for roughly a quarter. We chose that decay rate; we have not graded it against alternatives.
A budget is spent once. A team with $3 left cannot take a player from you at $20, whatever it would have paid in September. We read every rival's remaining budget and drop the ones who cannot reach your bid.
Only when your own history runs thin at a position. Same league size, same QB rules, same activity level. We widen one step at a time, and a rougher answer from your league always beats a precise one from someone else's.
Hundreds of public leagues, used to fill a hole and as a control group to check ourselves against. It skews heavily toward dynasty leagues, so it is a poor description of most people's league. The card always says when a figure came from it.
How many of your rivals are going to bid on him.
Sleeper publishes how many leagues added each player in the last 24 hours. A player half the country is grabbing will draw bidders in your league too. Two honest limits: those adds already went through, so it is not a feed of pending claims, and most adds anywhere are free pickups rather than money claims. In our own leagues, 2,869 of 3,774 Sleeper adds cost nothing.
A player already on 80% of rosters is not about to be claimed in many leagues. We graded the published ownership numbers against ownership measured directly in 24 redraft leagues: Sleeper's is off by about 13 points on average, ESPN's by about 20.
Points he actually scored minus what he was projected to score. This is the best single predictor we have found of a player being claimed at all: among leagues where he was still available, the claim rate runs from 0.5% to 5.5% across the range.
A starter who scored well for a month and then put up nothing. A starter on a bye next week. Both computed from box scores and the NFL schedule, with no injury feed involved, because a rival with a hole at running back is a rival who bids.
Your league-mates are not interchangeable. One claims every week; one has not spent a dollar since October. We model each manager separately, from their own record, rather than assuming an average opponent.
Whether a player looks like a handcuff who just inherited a job, a one-week streamer, or a stash. Shown next to the bid as context, never folded into the price. It stays hidden until the projections actually move, because early in a season it is mostly guessing.
Which defenses have a soft week coming, and which have several in a row, read off the real schedule and how many fantasy points each offense has actually given up.
The whole method, with every number and what we tested and threw away →
A Sleeper username or league ID, or an ESPN league ID. No account, no password, no permissions. If your ESPN league is private, we will walk you through unlocking it from your own browser.
Every season on record: the FAAB claims, the losing bids under them, the budgets, the trades and the results. That ledger is what makes pricing possible, and it is the part the platforms bury. This takes about ten minutes, and longer when other leagues are building ahead of yours. You can close the tab; the link keeps working.
Your private link opens on the FA Board: the players worth a decision this week, each with a bid and the odds that bid wins.
2026 Week 7: what FAABFAX member leagues paid last week, which players drew competing bids, and how our own number scored against it.
Our grade for this week: Overall A, Key players B.
| Most money moved | Claimed in | Median winning bid |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Cooper WR | 251 leagues | 17% of budget |
| DeMario Douglas WR | 192 leagues | 7% of budget |
| Tyrone Tracy RB | 180 leagues | 7% of budget |
Read 2026 Week 7 → · Every week → · Five seasons of history →
leagueId= in your league's
URL on ESPN. Careful: the URL also carries a year (the season) —
your league ID is not the year.